AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC

Advanced Team Statistics

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Data through 2026-11-08 (matchday 10) • last real xG: 2026-11-08 • 69 finished match(es)
Team Form
🔥 Hot

20 pts in 9 matches

WDWDWWWLW
Declining

Home Advantage
🏠

+0.58 wins at home

H: 3.0 PPG | A: 1.25 PPG

Goal Efficiency
📈 Hot

23 goals in 19.9 xG

Efficiency: 1.16x

Fixture Difficulty
🔴 Very Hard

Avg opponent Elo: 1528

League avg: 1465

📊 Form & Momentum (Last 9 Matches)
Form Index
74%
0% = all losses, 50% = all draws, 100% = all wins
Recent Results
W D W D W W W L W
Declining trend
Points Per Game
2.22
20 points in 9 matches
🏟️ Home/Away Performance
🏠 Home Matches (5)
Record: 5W-0D-0L
Points per game: 3.0
Goals scored/conceded: 19/1
xG for/against: 14.03/1.96
Shots/SOT: 106/45
Corners: 35
🚗 Away Matches (4)
Record: 1W-2D-1L
Points per game: 1.25
Goals scored/conceded: 4/5
xG for/against: 5.84/4.74
Shots/SOT: 56/12
Corners: 18
Home Advantage: Strong home team AEK Athens FC earns approximately +0.6 extra wins at home compared to away.
⚡ Goal Efficiency (xG Analysis)
Offensive Efficiency 📈 Hot
1.16x
23/19.9
Goals: 23 | Expected: 19.9
Defensive Efficiency ⚪ Normal
0.90x
6/6.7
Goals conceded: 6 | Expected: 6.7
⚠️ Alert: ⚠️ OVERPERFORMING - Expect offensive regression
Regression probability: 25%
Interpretation: AEK Athens FC is scoring more goals than expected (getting lucky). Watch for regression. Their defensive performance is average and repeatable.
⏱️ Goal-Time Distribution (Real HT/FT Split)
Goals Scored
1H 38%
2H 62%
Total: 8 in 0-45, 13 in 46-90
Goals Conceded
1H 40%
2H 60%
Total: 2 in 0-45, 3 in 46-90
Insights:
  • Late scoring profile: majority of goals scored in second half
  • Late vulnerability: most goals conceded in second half
Computed from real halftime/fulltime split (0-45 vs 46-90)
🎯 Strength of Schedule (Next 5 Matches)
Difficulty Rating
🔴 Very Hard
Avg opponent Elo: 1528
League Average
1465
↑ Harder than average
Difficulty Variance
Hardest: 1706 Elo
Easiest: 1462 Elo
Hardest Matches
Opponent Elo Venue
Olympiacos FC 1706 🚗
PAOK FC 1642 🏠
Easiest Matches
Opponent Elo Venue
Atromitos FC 1462 🚗
Volos NFC 1322 🏠
View Full Remaining Schedule
Date Opponent Elo Venue
2026-11-21 Kalamata FC 1507 🚗 Away
2026-11-29 PAOK FC 1642 🏠 Home
2026-12-05 Olympiacos FC 1706 🚗 Away
2026-12-13 Volos NFC 1322 🏠 Home
2026-12-16 Atromitos FC 1462 🚗 Away
📖 How to Read These Stats
  • Form Index: 0-1.0 score of recent performance. 🔥 (0.7+) hot, ⚡ (0.5-0.7) good, 😐 (0.3-0.5) average, ❄️ (<0.3) cold
  • Home Advantage: How much better/worse the team plays at home vs away
  • xG Efficiency: Actual goals vs expected goals. >1.15 suggests luck (may regress), <0.85 suggests underperformance (may improve)
  • Fixture Difficulty: Average Elo of remaining opponents. 🔴 very hard, 🟠 hard, 🟡 easy, 🟢 very easy